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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6656–6887, n=13543) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$349K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (15 of 46 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (78 of 127 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3 | — | Under $3.7K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | — | Under $319 | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | — | Under $5 | — |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $727 | — | No $94 | — |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $179 | — | No $21 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $80 | — | Raiders $28 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.5K | — | Jets $245 | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $1.2K | — | Falcons $959 | — |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) same side · consensus Vikings | Lions $997 | — | Lions $273 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.1K | — | Cowboys $18 | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $72 | — | Over $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Steelers $726 | — | Steelers $79 | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $207 | — | Yes $437 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2 | — | Under $213 | — |
| Elche CF leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $69 | — | Yes $56 | — |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $47 | — | Yes $49 | — |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | Yes $8 | — | Yes $2 | — |