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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (21 of 52 open) | 66% (100 of 152 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.9K | Over $1.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.5K | Raiders $2.3K | — | — |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | No $5.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $3.8K | Cardinals $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $770 | Cardinals $2.1K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.4K | Under $76 | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.3K | Cardinals $714 | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $71 | Raiders $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $8 | Cardinals $1.1K | — | — |
| Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $26 | No $366 | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $46 | Under $271 | — | — |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $191 | No $73 | — | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | Over $3.0K | — | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $1.2K | Falcons $1.8K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $72 | Over $1.7K | — | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $188 | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | Under $213 | — | — |