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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FrozenParasiteRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)63% (451–266, n=717)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)45% (537–650, n=1187)50% (985–968, n=1953)
Consensus PnL$155K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #875PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus61% (37 of 61 open)47% (9 of 19 open)79% (57 of 72 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment −2 pts, n=14———
Settled positions, side won51% of 671 at avg 37¢, ROI +11%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 23% of 319)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 60% of 106)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 75% of 127)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 96% of 119)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFrozenParasiteRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Eagles vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $1.0MEagles $3.0K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $422—No $34K—
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $32KEagles $1.3K
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.3K—Eagles $707
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $1.5K—Eagles $3
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $26—Eagles $347
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $3.6KCommanders $161K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $119—No $26K—
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $644—Over $527