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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gucky-45 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (745–1518, n=2263) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $166K | $11.0M | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #346 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (40 of 60 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −4 pts, n=52 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 3% of 1918 at avg 3¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 98% (won 2% of 1883) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 29% of 21) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 10) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 75% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.