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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HerdoniaRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)90% (982–109, n=1091)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$57K$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #496PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus55% (30 of 55 open)65% (98 of 151 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +48 pts n=371, ROI +48%
  • NFL +49 pts n=127, ROI +48%
  • NBA +46 pts n=226, ROI +41%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 17)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 99% of 353)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 497)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 98)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHerdoniaRN1CORGII
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Falcons $9.3KBuccaneers $1.9K—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $1.1KSteelers $5.5K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $1.7KLions $3.2K—
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.5KOver $1.7K—
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.1KUnder $2.2K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $11Raiders $2.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $435Cowboys $1.4K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $650Jets $192—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $10KOver $1.9K—
Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $7.0KTitans $8—
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.5KOver $718—
Colts vs. Jaguars
same side · consensus Jaguars
Colts $792Colts $116—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $688Under $136—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $47Over $526—
Spread: Buccaneers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $456Buccaneers $23—
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Buccaneers $5Buccaneers $379—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $23Under $228—
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $162Under $76—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $9Magic $161—