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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:BreakTheBankCORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| Herdonia | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (982–109, n=1091) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #496 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (29 of 51 open) | 61% (92 of 150 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 17) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 99% of 353) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 497) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 98) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Herdonia | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $13K | Steelers $91 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $9.2K | Buccaneers $1.6K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Browns $1.1K | Steelers $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $3.4K | Bills $37 | — |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $1.6K | Lions $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $440 | Cowboys $644 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $52 | Celtics $116 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $10K | Over $777 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Ravens $6.7K | Ravens $727 | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2.6K | Over $5 | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $292 | Under $319 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $47 | Over $384 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Jets $11 | Jets $257 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $19 | Under $228 | — |