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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Herdonia | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (982–109, n=1091) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #496 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (29 of 55 open) | 66% (102 of 154 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 17) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 99% of 353) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 497) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 98) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Herdonia | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $9.3K | Buccaneers $1.9K | — | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Browns $1.1K | Steelers $5.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Vikings $1.7K | Lions $3.2K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.5K | Over $1.7K | — | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | Under $2.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $11 | Raiders $2.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $435 | Cowboys $1.4K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | Raiders $650 | Jets $192 | — | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $10K | Over $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Titans $8.2K | Titans $50 | — | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $7.0K | Titans $8 | — | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2.5K | Over $718 | — | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars same side · consensus Jaguars | Colts $792 | Colts $116 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $688 | Under $136 | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $47 | Over $506 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-1.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $456 | Buccaneers $23 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $5 | Buccaneers $379 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $23 | Under $228 | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $162 | Under $76 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $9 | Magic $161 | — | — |