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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lolakis | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 69% (569–259, n=828) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $95K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #868 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (28 of 49 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=21 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 870 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 6% of 323) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 40% of 102) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 71% of 105) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 98% of 340) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.