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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracRN1BreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)52% (5294–4840, n=10134)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)45% (537–650, n=1187)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$13.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus86% (44 of 51 open)62% (16 of 26 open)81% (58 of 72 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164———
Settled positions, side won54% of 10044 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1317)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3583)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3478)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1666)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracRN1BreakTheBank00gringo00
Eagles vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $7.3K—Commanders $1.0M—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $21K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.8K—Yes $13K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $13K—No $407K—
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $433Commanders $161K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K—Yes $36K—
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $125Commanders $32K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K—Yes $22K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $811—Yes $15K—
Spread: Commanders (-7.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $888Eagles $5.8K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $376—Yes $2.6K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $96—Yes $1.3K—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56—Yes $164—