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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus76% (62 of 82 open)56% (84 of 149 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164——
Settled positions, side won54% of 10037 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1314)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3582)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3477)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1664)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracRN1CORGII
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $46KJets $11K—
Vikings vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $13KLions $29K—
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $271Under $9.2K—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.2KNo $3.3K—
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $2.3KBills $4.0K—
Spread: Raiders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $2.4KJets $3.5K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $5.2KCardinals $629—
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Jaguars $3.3KColts $283—
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $410Lions $2.1K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4KOver $434—
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $990Titans $696—
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $1.3KTitans $271—
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $46KBills $28K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $53KCowboys $12K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $9.2K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.9KOver $7.0K—
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $2.1KBills $4.0K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.8KCowboys $1.4K—