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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (65 of 121 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (14 of 21 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $18K | — | Ravens $696 | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $1.1K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $12K | — | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $647 | — | Bills $4.5K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $4.0K | — | Ravens $295 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | Under $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $376 | Bills $2.1K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | — | Over $8 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $434 | — | Under $65 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $228 | — | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $161 | — | — | Magic $13K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $9.2K | — | Under $2.8K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7.2K | — | Under $261 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $4.0K | — | Bills $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $2.5K | — | Bills $282 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $629 | — | Cardinals $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $93 | — | Bills $662 | — |