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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1BreakTheBank00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$13.4M$10.6M$3.5M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus53% (33 of 62 open)73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus position54% (39 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)0%8% (won 59% of 872)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)0%21% (won 86% of 2312)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)38% (won 94% of 4141)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)0%32% (won 99% of 3484)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1BreakTheBank00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $687
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Magic $24K—Celtics $115
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $7.0K——Under $8.0K
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite
Wilson Leite $12K——Andre Souza $1.0K
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Liam Draxl $5.2K——Dylan Dietrich $36
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris
Ozan Baris $4.0K——Jangjun Kim $951
Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.1K——Yes $21
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $18——Yes $825
CA Grau vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $244——Under $578
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $228——Over $573
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $102——No $110
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1——Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $272K—Yes $2.9K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $77K—Yes $1.8K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $73K—Yes $116
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $228Magic $51K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28K—Yes $2.9K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $161Magic $13K——
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $9.2K——Under $45
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K——No $176
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $30——Under $611
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $516——No $104
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $526——Over $59
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Shunsuke Mitsui $5——Shunsuke Mitsui $452
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $30——Under $160
Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $54——Yes $5