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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (89 of 157 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Steelers $1.9K | — | Browns $297K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $6.0K | — | Browns $255K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $9.8K | — | Raiders $171K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $12K | — | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $423 | — | Raiders $17K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $2.7K | — | Falcons $8.6K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $22K | — | Bills $378K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $4.3K | — | Raiders $104K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $18K | — | Bills $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $2.3K | — | Raiders $24K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $20K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K | — |