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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SPLPB | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (273–1814, n=2087) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $14.8M | $11.0M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #408 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (50 of 77 open) | 55% (24 of 44 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −16 pts, n=87 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 23% of 1578 at avg 28¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 66% (won 3% of 1041) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 27% of 120) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 50% of 114) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 82% of 303) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.