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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Siddhartha1 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (64–53, n=117) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $363K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #197 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (17 of 19 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | 61% (92 of 150 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 62 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 20) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 37) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 5) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Siddhartha1 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $387K | Ravens $727 | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $300K | Steelers $91 | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $259K | Steelers $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $105K | Jets $257 | — |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $31K | Yes $42K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $32K | Cowboys $21 | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $9.2K | — | No $14K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.6K | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.9K | — | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $2.7K | Cowboys $644 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $22K | No $405K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | Yes $258K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $85K | No $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $35K | Bills $37 | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $195 | Yes $11K | — | — |