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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunlineTicker | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (3081–1771, n=4852) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $330K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (17 of 35 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | 63% (87 of 138 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 3650 at avg 54¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 70% of 190) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 97% of 1424) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 98% of 1427) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 97% of 609) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunlineTicker | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $340 | Cardinals $2.7K | Cowboys $611 | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $300K | Steelers $51 | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $259K | Steelers $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $105K | Jets $255 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $32K | Cowboys $23 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $1.6K | — | Lions $1.3K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.3K | — | Over $240 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $1.5K | — | Celtics $116 | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $188 | — | Over $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $1.3K | — | Magic $119 | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $185 | — | Under $746 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $335 | — | Under $228 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $8.8K | No $40K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $291 | — | Under $213 | — |