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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunlineTicker | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (3081–1771, n=4852) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $330K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (19 of 38 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 53% (64 of 120 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 3650 at avg 54¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 70% of 190) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 97% of 1424) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 98% of 1427) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 97% of 609) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunlineTicker | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $1.3K | Magic $51K | — | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $336 | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $12K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $183 | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.2K | — | — | Over $434 |
| Spread: Bengals (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $193 | — | — | Titans $2.2K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $771 | — | — | Cardinals $629 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $342 | — | — | Under $228 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $61 | No $102K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $1.4K | Magic $76K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Bills $18K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $8.8K | No $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | — | Magic $161 |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $2.5K | — | — | Ravens $647 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 60.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | — | — | Under $90 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $286 | — | — | Under $213 |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $218 | — | — | Titans $14 |