← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Tenebrus7 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (2110–687, n=2797) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $128K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #841 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (109 of 126 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=386 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 3186 at avg 70¢, ROI +1% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 7% of 541) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 37% of 188) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 58% of 324) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 92% of 2133) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.