← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Tenebrus7 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (2118–688, n=2806) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $126K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #841 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (109 of 122 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (57 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=382 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 3190 at avg 70¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 7% of 540) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 37% of 188) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 58% of 325) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 92% of 2137) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.