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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UbuntuTrading | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (1752–1897, n=3649) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $117K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (44 of 82 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=195 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 3786 at avg 35¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 64% (won 6% of 2407) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 37% of 153) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 68% of 159) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 1067) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.