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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (18112–18572, n=36684) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (39 of 73 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 58% (15 of 26 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $9 | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $1.3K | — | — | Commanders $1.0M |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $1.5K | — | Eagles $5.8K | — |
| CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $914 | — | Over $35 | — |
| Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16 | — | No $912 | — |
| CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $134 | — | Over $44 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $145 | — | Lakers $11 | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $100 | — | Eagles $27 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $8 | — | Raptors $4 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K |
| Spread: Commanders (-14.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $35K | — | Eagles $4 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | No $7.6K | — |
| Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura same side · consensus Yanki Erel | Yanki Erel $977 | — | Yanki Erel $8.5K | — |
| Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.3K | — | No $2.2K | — |
| Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Christian Langmo same side · consensus Christian Langmo | Jake Delaney $4 | — | Jake Delaney $2.4K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $421 | — | Over $678 | — |
| CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $14 | — | Under $688 | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $36 | — | Under $476 | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $48 | — | Over $259 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) same side · consensus Clippers | Clippers $178 | — | Clippers $14 | — |
| Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $11 | — | Under $99 | — |
| Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | Yes $1 | — |