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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VeryLucky888 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (26675–19314, n=45989) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $417K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (109 of 182 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (20 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=1812 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 17416 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 1978) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 5856) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 5819) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 78% of 3763) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VeryLucky888 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $3.3K | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $696 |
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $2.9K | Bills $378K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $5.0K | Raiders $104K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.7K | Cardinals $35K | — | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $450 | Raiders $17K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Falcons $11K | — | — | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $437 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $56 | — | — | Under $1.2K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $544 | Cardinals $59K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $2.6K | Jaguars $20K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-17.5) same side · consensus Colts | Colts $11K | — | — | Colts $313 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $311 | Falcons $8.6K | — | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $2.7K | — | — | Buccaneers $4.9K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2.6K | — | — | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: Steelers (-2.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $332 | — | — | Browns $437 |