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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VeryLucky888 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (26675–19314, n=45989) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $417K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (89 of 150 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 46% (6 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=1814 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 1995) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 5894) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 5883) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 78% of 3792) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VeryLucky888 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $465K | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $5.4K | Chiefs $152K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $180 | Magic $51K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $5.3K | Magic $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $32 | Magic $13K | — | — |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $3.3K | — | — | Rams $1.0K |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $229 | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $321 | — | — | Over $22 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $11K | Commanders $229K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $6.9K | Commanders $43K | — | — |
| Chargers vs. Rams same side · consensus Rams | Chargers $4.0K | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |