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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| VeryLucky888 | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (26675–19314, n=45989) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $417K | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (84 of 153 open) | 53% (33 of 62 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=1812 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 17416 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 1978) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 5856) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 5819) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 78% of 3763) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VeryLucky888 | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3.7K | Over $2.4K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | No $2.6K | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl | Dylan Dietrich $429 | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $184 | No $3.3K | — |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $426 | No $2.6K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $54 | Under $954 | — |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $672 | Yes $102 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $180 | Magic $228 | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Jonas Forejtek $91 | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $319 | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — |
| Spread: SC Braga (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus SC Braga | SC Braga $294 | FC Famalicão $21 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $32 | Magic $161 | — |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $40 | No $18 | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $16 | Felipe de Dios $1 | — |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $185 | Under $9.2K | — |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris same side · consensus Ozan Baris | Ozan Baris $24 | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $164 | Over $3.0K | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $2 | No $516 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $12 | Under $228 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira same side · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca | Jose Pereira $3 | Jose Pereira $129 | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Nicolas Bruna $73 | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $41 | Under $30 | — |
| Cerro Porteno vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4 | Under $9 | — |