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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VeryLucky888 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (26675–19314, n=45989) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $417K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (88 of 152 open) | 63% (20 of 32 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=1814 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 1995) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 5894) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 5883) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 78% of 3792) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VeryLucky888 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $180 | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $32 | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $5.4K | — | — | Chiefs $152K |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $5.3K | — | — | Magic $24K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3.7K | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | No $2.6K | — | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl | Dylan Dietrich $429 | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — | — |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $184 | No $3.3K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $54 | Under $954 | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Jonas Forejtek $91 | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $319 | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $16 | Felipe de Dios $1 | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $11K | — | — | Commanders $230K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $6.9K | — | — | Commanders $43K |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $185 | Under $9.2K | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris same side · consensus Ozan Baris | Ozan Baris $24 | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $164 | Over $3.0K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $12 | Under $228 | — | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira same side · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca | Jose Pereira $3 | Jose Pereira $129 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Nicolas Bruna $73 | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — | — |