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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| WordleAddict | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (574–404, n=978) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $672K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #317 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (14 of 17 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (91 of 146 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Esports −12 pts, n=45 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 1140 at avg 50¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 9% of 383) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 44% of 151) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 64% of 209) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 94% of 397) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | WordleAddict | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | — | Steelers $5.5K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $171K | — | Jets $192 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $55K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $36K | No $35K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $11K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | — | Jets $400 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | — | Raiders $2.3K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $36K | No $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | — | Cardinals $714 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $30K | No $590 | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Raiders $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | — | Jaguars $643 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | Yes $4.1K | — | — |