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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aHjCz | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (3706–8254, n=11960) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (872–458, n=1330) | 47% (14225–15839, n=30064) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.0M | $11.0M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #107 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (122 of 145 open) | 83% (157 of 189 open) | 73% (95 of 130 open) | 58% (40 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −4 pts, n=1104 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 33% of 2980 at avg 36¢, ROI +7% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 61% (won 1% of 1829) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 8% of 167) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 57% of 49) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 98% of 935) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.