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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpMulticoloured-Serf
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)47% (233–259, n=492)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.3M-$316K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (12 of 21 open)63% (259 of 413 open)63% (19 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)47% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)47% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)6% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpMulticoloured-Serf
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Wizards $237Hawks $13K
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Cavaliers $195Thunder $5.3K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $583Under $1.5K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $642KNo $165K—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $7.5KNo $121K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $9.9KNo $20K
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $202Pacers $24K
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $202Celtics $20K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $77676ers $15K
Bucks vs. Celtics
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $2.1KCeltics $6.0K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $266Celtics $3.1K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $504Pacers $2.7K
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $118Under $2.1K
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Pelicans $197Pelicans $1.9K
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $814No $542
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $129Under $929
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $127Under $477
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $367Over $43
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
same side · consensus CR Flamengo
——CR Flamengo $192CR Flamengo $11
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $40Under $58