← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 37% (1376–2329, n=3705) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $20K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #128 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (40 of 65 open) | 81% (230 of 284 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Elections −3 pts, n=583 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 60% of 2472 at avg 61¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 34% (won 1% of 837) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 4% (won 42% of 99) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 6% (won 63% of 153) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 56% (won 96% of 1383) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.