Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1RN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (886–468, n=1354)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)85% (5221–893, n=6114)
Consensus PnL—$4.2M$14.8M$25K
Tracked as—PM monthly #147PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #705
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (34 of 46 open)66% (118 of 180 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +32 pts n=517, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=45, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)9% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)16% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)23% (won 99% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)53% (won 100% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4ndb1RN1youcanbuythisbot
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $234
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $86
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.5KYes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $833
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $529Yes $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $47
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KRayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $382Over $23
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $162Yes $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $20Under $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1