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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
blketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL—$7.7M-$8.8M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (44 of 53 open)61% (34 of 56 open)62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketblketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primm
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $101KCowboys $60Colts $94
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $294KTexans $40K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K—
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
—Packers $132KPatriots $10K—
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $91KTexans $40K—
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
—Packers $102KPatriots $26K—
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11KUnder $12K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.1KUnder $4.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $26Under $3.3K
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Browns $2.7KSaints $16
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $597Under $97
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $332Colts $76
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $142KBulls $11K—
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
——49ers $28K49ers $40K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $49K—Colts $5.7K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $24KColts $8.8K—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $3.9KChargers $5—