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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bosshogBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)73% (849–308, n=1157)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$225K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus62% (21 of 34 open)74% (72 of 97 open)25% (1 of 4 open)50% (9 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=65———
Settled positions, side won78% of 1379 at avg 75¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 13% of 185)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 46% of 103)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 63% of 157)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up68% (won 96% of 934)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbosshogBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.4KYes $272K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.3KNo $40K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $730Yes $28K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $176No $16K——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $4.1K——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $775No $590——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $546Yes $28——