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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cowcat | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (1103–822, n=1925) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #455 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (27 of 65 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 54% (63 of 116 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1653 at avg 70¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 26% of 274) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 75% of 118) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 91% of 169) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 99% of 1092) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cowcat | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.6K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.5K | No $24K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $8.0K | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.3K | No $590 | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.6K | No $184K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5.1K | No $102K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $858 | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.0K | No $10K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $2.4K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $581 | Yes $2.2K | — | — |