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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
darkumbreon88beachboy4RN1primm
Record (consensus markets)65% (1753–924, n=2677)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$215K$5.8M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #806was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus73% (11 of 15 open)100% (1 of 1 open)55% (65 of 119 open)72% (13 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=81, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +32 pts n=207, ROI +31%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1571 at avg 69¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 18)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 151)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 591)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 100% of 811)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdarkumbreon88beachboy4RN1primm
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $58K—No $26K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $647Bills $4.5K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $2.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $1.1K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.2KOver $8
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $36—No $516—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $434Under $65
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $10K—Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.2KUnder $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.2KUnder $261
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $2.5KBills $282
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $629Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $93Bills $662
Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $292—Titans $14—