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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| debased | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (693–815, n=1508) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #982 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (38 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=403 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 1303 at avg 36¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 60% (won 4% of 778) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 47% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 59) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 96% of 404) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.