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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| december | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (119–20, n=139) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $43K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 56% (82 of 146 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −1 pts, n=31 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 175 at avg 87¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 0% of 19) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 99% of 155) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | december | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $1.9K | — | Browns $297K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $109 | — | Raiders $17K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $28K | — | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $4.3K | — | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $18K | — | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.7K | — | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |