← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| devonpoll | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (15231–14350, n=29581) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $346K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #993 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 56% (89 of 158 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 358 at avg 50¢, ROI +6% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 94% of 17) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 95% (won 100% of 339) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | devonpoll | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $297K | Steelers $1.9K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $6.0K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $171K | Jets $7.2K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $423 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $2.7K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $22K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $4.3K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $2.7K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $1.1K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |