← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| god83743894 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 15% (4042–22938, n=26980) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 50% (1246–1260, n=2506) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | -$163K | $4.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #219 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | 72% (71 of 98 open) | 54% (21 of 39 open) | 57% (87 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | Weather −8 pts, n=17386 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 13% of 20935 at avg 21¢, ROI −7% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 85% (won 0% of 17885) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 39% of 170) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 54% of 226) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 97% of 2654) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | god83743894 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6.8K | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | — | Dolphins $1.2K | Lions $6.5K |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $133 | Rams $7.3K |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.9K | Under $2.0K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $97 | Over $5.6K |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.3K | Over $1.9K |
| Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.0K | Over $99 |
| Spread: Lions (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | — | — | Lions $2.0K | Dolphins $3.0K |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.6K | Over $142 |
| Spread: Saints (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Saints $50 | Browns $3.5K |
| Spread: Saints (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Saints $958 | Browns $1.8K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Colts $94 | Cowboys $1.8K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | — | Dolphins $267 | Lions $787 |
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $48K | Chiefs $14K |
| Spread: Lions (-13.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | — | Dolphins $11K | Dolphins $2.5K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.3K | Under $6.4K |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) same side · consensus Giants | — | — | Eagles $3.4K | Eagles $1.1K |
| Spread: Giants (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | — | — | Eagles $195 | Eagles $3.2K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Lions (-14.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | — | Dolphins $1.6K | Dolphins $229 |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $924 | Over $657 |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $745 | Commanders $693 |
| Spread: Saints (-7.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Saints $16 | Saints $1.4K |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9 | Over $14 |