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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| god83743894 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (3405–9145, n=12550) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1105–1118, n=2223) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) |
| Consensus PnL | -$142K | $3.2M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #235 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (2130 of 2808 open) | 68% (106 of 155 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (17 of 32 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −7 pts, n=5548 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 28% of 8247 at avg 33¢, ROI −5% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 69% (won 1% of 5687) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 40% of 158) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 54% of 213) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 96% of 2189) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.