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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
haveagooddayjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (1638–3000, n=4638)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15563–15624, n=31187)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$22K$5.3M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #122PM monthly #2PM monthly #140PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (36 of 41 open)no open consensus position53% (101 of 192 open)52% (77 of 148 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=687———
Settled positions, side won54% of 3082 at avg 56¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 1% of 1224)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 61% of 889)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 43% of 108)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2410)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 62% of 175)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4354)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 96% of 1575)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3754)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markethaveagooddayjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Carlos Alcaraz $328Taylor Fritz $24K
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $769No $6.3K
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7.0KOver $20
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $21No $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.6K
Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.8KYes $933
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $151Yes $2.0K
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $2.0K
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.7KYes $231
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Spurs $1.4KKings $110
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KUnder $19
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $8Hornets $341
Will Almere City FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $266Yes $41
Will Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8Yes $163
Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $126
Exact Score: VVV Venlo 0 - 1 Jong PSV Eindhoven?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $6Yes $95
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $25No $25
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $15No $5
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $11KYes $14K
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $7Yes $5.1K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $93No $3.7K
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $565No $1.8K
USL Dunkerque vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $426Under $237
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $3No $617
Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Andrade
same side · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
——Maks Kasnikowski $41Maks Kasnikowski $348
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $149Under $168
Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)
same side · consensus Roda JC Kerkrade
——Heracles Almelo $30Heracles Almelo $265
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $2Over $71
Spread: SK Rapid (-1.5)
same side · consensus SK Rapid
——SK Rapid $17SK Rapid $25