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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
haveagooddayjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)28% (1756–4481, n=6237)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (18439–18335, n=36774)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$23K$3.2M$2.3M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #132PM monthly #7was PM monthly #584PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus79% (33 of 42 open)no open consensus position56% (79 of 141 open)58% (42 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=687———
Settled positions, side won55% of 3125 at avg 56¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 12930 at avg 61¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 1% of 1239)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 989)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 43% of 109)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2698)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 62% of 175)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4911)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 96% of 1602)18% (won 67% of 3)34% (won 99% of 4332)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markethaveagooddayjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $229Under $4.3K
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
——Giles Hussey $1.2KGeoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $1.8K
Idaho Vandals vs. Washington State Cougars (W)
opposite sides · consensus Washington State Cougars
——Idaho Vandals $111Washington State Cougars $731
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $285Cavaliers $115
Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $120No $45
Will FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $42Yes $85
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3Under $114
Sopo: Tamara Zidansek vs Julia Grabher
opposite sides · consensus Tamara Zidansek
——Julia Grabher $67Tamara Zidansek $49
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $14No $2
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
——Billy Harris $6.9KBilly Harris $6.2K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $1.4KRockets $130
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $2Over $356
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Pistons $2Pistons $243
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Raptors $99Raptors $116
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $26Over $187
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $3Under $11