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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hideo | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 79% (239–62, n=301) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $120K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (8 of 9 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (20 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=116 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 341 at avg 83¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 8% of 12) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 43% of 14) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 52% of 25) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 85% (won 92% of 290) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hideo | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $87K | No $184K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | No $252K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $92K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $696 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.3K | No $35K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | Yes $169K | — | — |