← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lpgb | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (187–502, n=689) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $27K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $19.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (95 of 118 open) | 89% (146 of 164 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=42 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 258 at avg 22¢, ROI −7% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 79% (won 0% of 204) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 13% of 8) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 62% of 13) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 91% of 33) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
40 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.