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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1pagliacci4primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (1095–632, n=1727)96% (1650–75, n=1725)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.6M$11K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #113PM monthly #959PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (71 of 98 open)96% (24 of 25 open)54% (21 of 39 open)55% (87 of 158 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1pagliacci4primmRN1
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $1.8KLions $47KLions $2.2K
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
——Panthers $6.6KBroncos $8.2K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KOver $1.6K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $6.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $4.6K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $92Over $5.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $1.6K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Colts $94Cowboys $2.1K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $5.8K
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0K—No $5.9K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
——Eagles $3.4KEagles $1.4K
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $195Eagles $3.2K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.9K—Yes $1.4K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $924Over $864
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $3
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Commanders $579
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14