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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
omnibus-076daaBreakTheBank00gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$10.6M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #27PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (37 of 59 open)71% (73 of 103 open)no open consensus position65% (100 of 153 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 59% of 872)10% (won 85% of 53)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 86% of 2312)36% (won 98% of 192)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 94% of 4141)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 3484)20% (won 100% of 107)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daaBreakTheBank00gringo00RN1
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $614Raiders $171K—Jets $192
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $4.6KFalcons $8.6K—Buccaneers $1.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $131Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255K—Steelers $5.5K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $11K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $25K——No $5.5K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17K—Jets $400
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $63——Over $3.0K
Will Lommel SK win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $105——No $1.5K
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8——Yes $1.0K
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $211——No $640
Will Alemannia Aachen win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $133——No $93
Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $137——Over $2
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Dylan Dietrich
Dylan Dietrich $36——Liam Draxl $9
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2——Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104K—Raiders $2.3K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.8KYes $77K——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $116Yes $71K——
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35K—Cardinals $714
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Raiders $1.1K
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $21K——Under $2.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20K—Jaguars $643
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $185——Yes $12K
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $217——Under $5.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $41——Cardinals $1.4K
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $186——Yes $692
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Shunsuke Mitsui $452——Shunsuke Mitsui $5
Spread: Raiders (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $213——Raiders $29
Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5——Over $7