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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| paddaa | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (290–269, n=559) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $211K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (55 of 87 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 61% (19 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=167 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 930 at avg 44¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 9% of 401) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 46% of 148) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 72% of 101) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 94% of 280) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | paddaa | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.1K | — | No $35K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Jets $284 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $8.7K | — | No $411K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $395 |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $171K | Raiders $5.8K |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $190 | Yes $4.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |