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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| rebotsliaf | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 24% (143–463, n=606) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $82K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #845 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (19 of 32 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (63 of 116 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=192 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 26% of 567 at avg 24¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 61% (won 6% of 348) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 50% of 125) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 56% of 62) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 94% of 32) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | rebotsliaf | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.3K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $12K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $633 | No $40K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $436 | Yes $4.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $4 | No $184K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | — | Magic $228 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.0K | Yes $16K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | — | Magic $161 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $2.3K | No $590 | — | — |