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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| rebotsliaf | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 24% (143–463, n=606) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $82K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #845 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (19 of 32 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=192 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 26% of 567 at avg 24¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 61% (won 6% of 348) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 50% of 125) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 94% of 32) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | rebotsliaf | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | — | Yes $171K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | — | Yes $39K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $633 | — | No $40K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.1K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $436 | — | Yes $4.9K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $4 | — | No $202K | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.2K | — | Yes $17K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | No $607 | — |