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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| smellyEllie | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (551–710, n=1261) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $102K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #976 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (18 of 48 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 53% (58 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=377 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 1256 at avg 35¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 56% (won 7% of 707) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 38% of 125) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 69% of 127) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 94% of 297) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | smellyEllie | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | No $184K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $12K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $345 | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $701 | No $35K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $11 | Yes $82K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | — | Magic $228 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15 | Yes $51K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | — | Magic $161 |