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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiCORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)45% (3528–4316, n=7844)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$435$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus55% (85 of 154 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (79 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 112)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 257)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 313)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 471)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiCORGIIBreakTheBank
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $12—Bills $378K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $109—Browns $255K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $46—Raiders $17K
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $4—Browns $297K
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $337—Raiders $171K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $110—Raiders $104K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $11—Cardinals $59K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $222—Bills $51K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $33—Raiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $40—Jaguars $20K
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus DENDELE CS
Imperial $42Imperial $7.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $14—Cardinals $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $19—Bills $2.1K