BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo

25 of 33 top Polymarket traders hold Borna Gojo (76%) · Borna Gojo at 100¢ · $115K held · ends Nov 15

Nikoloz Basilashvili<1¢Borna Gojo>99¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Borna Gojo

Consensus Traders

Borna Gojo 76%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$115.2K

Combined PnL

$5.3K

Smart Money Entry

66.5¢ → 100¢

+50% since entry · 25 traders

Research grade

NeutralBorna Gojo at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Borna Gojo

25 of 33 top traders (76%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Nikoloz Basilashvili0%

Borna Gojo100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Borna Gojo25 traders

Total Value$109.3K

Total Shares112,993

Combined PnL+$8.6K

Nikoloz Basilashvili8 traders

Total Value$4.8K

Total Shares19,451

Combined PnL$-3.3K

Borna Gojo — 76%Nikoloz Basilashvili — 24%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
65 6512395314597884	Borna Gojoavg 59.5¢	$11.8K	$19.0K	+$7.6K	51% 5014-4884 (9898)
FE ferrariChampions2026	Borna Gojoavg 67.9¢	$20.3K	$16.0K	$-4.3K	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
CoinTrick	Borna Gojoavg 99.9¢	$15.0K	$15.0K	+$7.51	97% 5128-152 (5280)
VE Venusian	Borna Gojoavg 53.3¢	$9.8K	$14.3K	+$4.6K	49% 1844-1936 (3780)
LI Limousin	Borna Gojoavg 58.9¢	$12.4K	$12.1K	-$331.44	50% 1850-1866 (3716)
MA MadridTime	Borna Gojoavg 70.5¢	$7.3K	$6.4K	-$888.36	48% 1776-1912 (3688)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Borna Gojoavg 52.5¢	$5.7K	$6.0K	+$383.99	53% 14954-13478 (28432)
FL Flaznorp	Borna Gojoavg 58.6¢	$3.6K	$4.0K	+$345.26	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
38 38791873984189	Borna Gojoavg 56.3¢	$4.9K	$3.4K	+$380.23	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
OJ ojg	Borna Gojoavg 98.8¢	$3.1K	$3.0K	-$43.9	43% 838-1096 (1934)
TH thestingsnake	Borna Gojoavg 57.3¢	$2.6K	$2.8K	+$883.36	60% 4530-3029 (7559)
MR MrClaude11	Borna Gojoavg 99¢	$2.2K	$2.2K	+$21.38	54% 261-224 (485)
K5 k56CTR	Nikoloz Basilashviliavg 67.2¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	-$82.66	58% 902-666 (1568)
VeryLucky888	Borna Gojoavg 34.7¢	$1.8K	$1.7K	+$44.52	58% 47904-34520 (82424)
LO looppau	Borna Gojoavg 99¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$14.25	99% 13202-108 (13310)
12xmrboltARB<$100	Borna Gojoavg 63.2¢	$1.2K	$1.1K	-$129.74	44% 264-342 (606)
└ Borna Gojo leg	Borna Gojoavg 63.2¢	$669.48	$651.7	-$17.78
└ Nikoloz Basilashvili leg	Nikoloz Basilashviliavg 49.2¢	$513	$401.04	-$111.96
TG tghj20CTR	Nikoloz Basilashviliavg 34¢	$700.03	$957.39	+$257.36	44% 83-104 (187)
LI LightParadoxCTR	Nikoloz Basilashviliavg 36.4¢	$2.4K	$891.46	$-1.5K	49% 1800-1902 (3702)
EU Eulhunter	Borna Gojoavg 79.1¢	$873.03	$639.12	-$233.91	54% 6333-5398 (11731)
RN1CTR	Nikoloz Basilashviliavg 26.4¢	$2.3K	$623.26	$-1.6K	53% 63014-55227 (118241)
tradecraft	Borna Gojoavg 52.6¢	$208.38	$327.88	+$119.5	51% 6523-6284 (12807)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Nikoloz Basilashviliavg 12¢	$88.14	$256.04	+$167.9	46% 1795-2102 (3897)
machinelearned	Borna Gojoavg 60.6¢	$198.47	$226.83	+$28.36	55% 9938-8254 (18192)
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3	Borna Gojoavg 33¢	$196.06	$210.91	+$14.85	50% 2796-2767 (5563)
OM omnibus-076daa	Borna Gojoavg 55¢	$109.59	$122.5	+$12.91	50% 21821-22062 (43883)

6512395314597884

Borna Gojo

Invested

$11,752.74

Value

$19.0K

PnL

+$7.6K

Record

51%

5014-4884 (9898)

ferrariChampions2026

Borna Gojo

Invested

$20,330.86

Value

$16.0K

PnL

$-4.3K

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

CoinTrick

Borna Gojo

Invested

$15,008.04

Value

$15.0K

PnL

+$7.51

Record

97%

5128-152 (5280)

Venusian

Borna Gojo

Invested

$9,769.44

Value

$14.3K

PnL

+$4.6K

Record

49%

1844-1936 (3780)

Limousin

Borna Gojo

Invested

$12,433.26

Value

$12.1K

PnL

-$331.44

Record

50%

1850-1866 (3716)

MadridTime

Borna Gojo

Invested

$7,329.16

Value

$6.4K

PnL

-$888.36

Record

48%

1776-1912 (3688)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Borna Gojo

Invested

$5,651.62

Value

$6.0K

PnL

+$383.99

Record

53%

14954-13478 (28432)

Flaznorp

Borna Gojo

Invested

$3,643.18

Value

$4.0K

PnL

+$345.26

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

38791873984189

Borna Gojo

Invested

$4,903.11

Value

$3.4K

PnL

+$380.23

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

ojg

Borna Gojo

Invested

$3,057.49

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$43.9

Record

43%

838-1096 (1934)

thestingsnake

Borna Gojo

Invested

$2,598.56

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$883.36

Record

60%

4530-3029 (7559)

MrClaude11

Borna Gojo

Invested

$2,228.18

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$21.38

Record

54%

261-224 (485)

k56CTR

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Invested

$2,033.89

Value

$2.0K

PnL

-$82.66

Record

58%

902-666 (1568)

VeryLucky888

Borna Gojo

Invested

$1,847.43

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$44.52

Record

58%

47904-34520 (82424)

looppau

Borna Gojo

Invested

$1,485

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$14.25

Record

99%

13202-108 (13310)

12xmrboltARB<$100

Borna Gojo

Invested

$1,182.48

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$129.74

Record

44%

264-342 (606)

Both legs:

Borna Gojo$669.4863.2¢-$17.78

Nikoloz Basilashvili$51349.2¢-$111.96

tghj20CTR

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Invested

$700.03

Value

$957.39

PnL

+$257.36

Record

44%

83-104 (187)

LightParadoxCTR

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Invested

$2,424.5

Value

$891.46

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

49%

1800-1902 (3702)

Eulhunter

Borna Gojo

Invested

$873.03

Value

$639.12

PnL

-$233.91

Record

54%

6333-5398 (11731)

RN1CTR

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Invested

$2,263.48

Value

$623.26

PnL

$-1.6K

Record

53%

63014-55227 (118241)

tradecraft

Borna Gojo

Invested

$208.38

Value

$327.88

PnL

+$119.5

Record

51%

6523-6284 (12807)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Invested

$88.14

Value

$256.04

PnL

+$167.9

Record

46%

1795-2102 (3897)

machinelearned

Borna Gojo

Invested

$198.47

Value

$226.83

PnL

+$28.36

Record

55%

9938-8254 (18192)

0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3

Borna Gojo

Invested

$196.06

Value

$210.91

PnL

+$14.85

Record

50%

2796-2767 (5563)

omnibus-076daa

Borna Gojo

Invested

$109.59

Value

$122.5

PnL

+$12.91

Record

50%

21821-22062 (43883)

Research grade

NeutralBorna Gojo at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Borna Gojo

25 of 33 top traders (76%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Borna Gojo wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.