Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Mai Hontama — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Mai Hontama

Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva

Resolved Mai Hontama. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Mai Hontama. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Mai Hontama 69%

6 arb excluded

Total Value

$212.3K

Combined PnL

$12.3K

Smart Money Signal

Mai Hontama

20 of 30 top traders (67%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Mai Hontama100%

Zhibek Kulambayeva0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Mai Hontama20 traders

Total Value$208.8K

Total Shares208,784

Combined PnL+$42.8K

Zhibek Kulambayeva10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares92,857

Combined PnL$-30.5K

Mai Hontama — 67%Zhibek Kulambayeva — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
NS NS13	Mai Hontamaavg 56.7¢	$80.3K	$141.6K	+$59.4K	52% 433-397 (830)
RN1	Mai Hontamaavg 70.9¢	$40.6K	$30.3K	$-10.3K	53% 61333-53649 (114982)
LI Limousin	Mai Hontamaavg 79.7¢	$19.6K	$13.3K	$-6.3K	53% 1404-1252 (2656)
VE Venusian	Mai Hontamaavg 72.1¢	$6.2K	$7.2K	+$983.31	51% 1367-1324 (2691)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 26.9¢	$6.2K	—	$-6.2K	51% 25691-24411 (50102)
MA MadridTime	Mai Hontamaavg 68.2¢	$4.7K	$3.8K	-$962.12	50% 1305-1289 (2594)
TRCM	Mai Hontamaavg 75¢	$3.0K	$3.7K	+$656.49	55% 4051-3266 (7317)
LI LightParadoxCTR	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 39.1¢	$4.7K	—	$-4.7K	52% 1360-1276 (2636)
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 31.2¢	$9.2K	$1.1K	$-6.8K	51% 4753-4623 (9376)
└ Zhibek Kulambayeva leg	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 31.2¢	$7.2K	—	$-7.3K
└ Mai Hontama leg	Mai Hontamaavg 55.1¢	$614.63	$1.1K	+$500.7
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Mai Hontamaavg 73.1¢	$3.2K	$3.0K	-$171.54	52% 14474-13172 (27646)
1L 1lovejump	Mai Hontamaavg 76.2¢	$4.9K	$2.4K	+$90.17	52% 771-698 (1469)
38 38791873984189	Mai Hontamaavg 72¢	$2.8K	$1.6K	-$446.4	48% 61013-65836 (126849)
tradecraftARB<$100	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 36.9¢	$1.6K	$769.42	-$851.79	51% 6329-6117 (12446)
└ Mai Hontama leg	Mai Hontamaavg 60.4¢	$464.55	$769.42	+$304.87
└ Zhibek Kulambayeva leg	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 36.9¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K
TH thestingsnakeARB<$100	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 41¢	$3.0K	$649.86	$-1.2K	60% 4422-2963 (7385)
└ Mai Hontama leg	Mai Hontamaavg 62¢	$402.83	$649.86	+$215.9
└ Zhibek Kulambayeva leg	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 41¢	$1.3K	—	$-1.4K
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Mai Hontamaavg 61.2¢	$750.8	$820.83	+$70.04	46% 1526-1800 (3326)
EU EulhunterARB<$100	Mai Hontamaavg 85.4¢	$1.2K	$677.88	-$472.87	54% 6264-5328 (11592)
└ Mai Hontama leg	Mai Hontamaavg 85.4¢	$578.81	$677.88	+$103.48
└ Zhibek Kulambayeva leg	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 26.4¢	$576.34	—	-$576.34
VeryLucky888	Mai Hontamaavg 80¢	$440	$500	+$100.5	58% 46650-33619 (80269)
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 23.9¢	$3.8K	$297.34	$-3.5K	50% 21143-21403 (42546)
└ Mai Hontama leg	Mai Hontamaavg 61¢	$181.23	$297.34	+$116.11
└ Zhibek Kulambayeva leg	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 23.9¢	$3.6K	—	$-3.6K
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 31¢	$53.8K	—	$-20.1K	42% 7984-11171 (19155)
SC SchruteBucks	Mai Hontamaavg 78.2¢	$1.3K	$217.66	-$78.35	56% 1936-1505 (3441)
TG tghj20CTR	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 41.1¢	$2.3K	—	$-1.4K	46% 76-88 (164)
SE sentrioARB<$100	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 35.7¢	$432.75	$40.97	-$391.78	50% 25799-25489 (51288)
└ Zhibek Kulambayeva leg	Zhibek Kulambayevaavg 35.7¢	$399.56	—	-$399.56
└ Mai Hontama leg	Mai Hontamaavg 81¢	$33.19	$40.97	+$7.78
0xheavy888	Mai Hontamaavg 81¢	$140.29	$140.29	+$26.66	56% 7902-6320 (14222)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	Mai Hontamaavg 57.8¢	$86.88	$90	+$3.12	65% 5260-2878 (8138)
FL flatbarrel	Mai Hontamaavg 75.1¢	$3.9K	$67.77	-$319.55	58% 2799-2005 (4804)

NS13

Mai Hontama

Invested

$80,344.53

Value

$141.6K

PnL

+$59.4K

Record

52%

433-397 (830)

RN1

Mai Hontama

Invested

$40,612.02

Value

$30.3K

PnL

$-10.3K

Record

53%

61333-53649 (114982)

Limousin

Mai Hontama

Invested

$19,564.79

Value

$13.3K

PnL

$-6.3K

Record

53%

1404-1252 (2656)

Venusian

Mai Hontama

Invested

$6,229.34

Value

$7.2K

PnL

+$983.31

Record

51%

1367-1324 (2691)

FlaznorpCTR

Zhibek Kulambayeva

Invested

$6,221.59

Value

—

PnL

$-6.2K

Record

51%

25691-24411 (50102)

MadridTime

Mai Hontama

Invested

$4,742.9

Value

$3.8K

PnL

-$962.12

Record

50%

1305-1289 (2594)

TRCM

Mai Hontama

Invested

$3,022.66

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$656.49

Record

55%

4051-3266 (7317)

LightParadoxCTR

Zhibek Kulambayeva

Invested

$4,689.16

Value

—

PnL

$-4.7K

Record

52%

1360-1276 (2636)

6512395314597884ARB<$100

Zhibek Kulambayeva

Invested

$9,245.01

Value

$1.1K

PnL

$-6.8K

Record

51%

4753-4623 (9376)

Both legs:

Zhibek Kulambayeva$7,193.8931.2¢$-7.3K

Mai Hontama$614.6355.1¢+$500.7

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Mai Hontama

Invested

$3,200.25

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$171.54

Record

52%

14474-13172 (27646)

1lovejump

Mai Hontama

Invested

$4,922.95

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$90.17

Record

52%

771-698 (1469)

38791873984189

Mai Hontama

Invested

$2,791.32

Value

$1.6K

PnL

-$446.4

Record

48%

61013-65836 (126849)

tradecraftARB<$100

Zhibek Kulambayeva

Invested

$1,621.21

Value

$769.42

PnL

-$851.79

Record

51%

6329-6117 (12446)

Both legs:

Mai Hontama$464.5560.4¢+$304.87

Zhibek Kulambayeva$1,156.6636.9¢$-1.2K

thestingsnakeARB<$100

Zhibek Kulambayeva

Invested

$3,046.85

Value

$649.86

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

60%

4422-2963 (7385)

Both legs:

Mai Hontama$402.8362¢+$215.9

Zhibek Kulambayeva$1,318.3341¢$-1.4K

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Mai Hontama

Invested

$750.8

Value

$820.83

PnL

+$70.04

Record

46%

1526-1800 (3326)

EulhunterARB<$100

Mai Hontama

Invested

$1,155.15

Value

$677.88

PnL

-$472.87

Record

54%

6264-5328 (11592)

Both legs:

Mai Hontama$578.8185.4¢+$103.48

Zhibek Kulambayeva$576.3426.4¢-$576.34

VeryLucky888

Mai Hontama

Invested

$440

Value

$500

PnL

+$100.5

Record

58%

46650-33619 (80269)

omnibus-076daaARB<$100

Zhibek Kulambayeva

Invested

$3,823.2

Value

$297.34

PnL

$-3.5K

Record

50%

21143-21403 (42546)

Both legs:

Mai Hontama$181.2361¢+$116.11

Zhibek Kulambayeva$3,641.9623.9¢$-3.6K

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Zhibek Kulambayeva

Invested

$53,775.92

Value

—

PnL

$-20.1K

Record

42%

7984-11171 (19155)

SchruteBucks

Mai Hontama

Invested

$1,323.71

Value

$217.66

PnL

-$78.35

Record

56%

1936-1505 (3441)

tghj20CTR

Zhibek Kulambayeva

Invested

$2,271.46

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

46%

76-88 (164)

sentrioARB<$100

Zhibek Kulambayeva

Invested

$432.75

Value

$40.97

PnL

-$391.78

Record

50%

25799-25489 (51288)

Both legs:

Zhibek Kulambayeva$399.5635.7¢-$399.56

Mai Hontama$33.1981¢+$7.78

0xheavy888

Mai Hontama

Invested

$140.29

Value

$140.29

PnL

+$26.66

Record

56%

7902-6320 (14222)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

Mai Hontama

Invested

$86.88

Value

$90

PnL

+$3.12

Record

65%

5260-2878 (8138)

flatbarrel

Mai Hontama

Invested

$3,884.99

Value

$67.77

PnL

-$319.55

Record

58%

2799-2005 (4804)

Smart Money Signal

Mai Hontama

20 of 30 top traders (67%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5bef84c3...a0110f

Slug

wta-hontama-kulamba-2026-11-04

Traders in this Market

NS13

Mai Hontama — $141.6K

+$59.4K

RN1

Mai Hontama — $30.3K

$-10.3K

Limousin

Mai Hontama — $13.3K

$-6.3K

Venusian

Mai Hontama — $7.2K

+$983.31

Flaznorp

CTR

Zhibek Kulambayeva — $0

$-6.2K

MadridTime

Mai Hontama — $3.8K

-$962.12

TRCM

Mai Hontama — $3.7K

+$656.49

LightParadox

CTR

Zhibek Kulambayeva — $0

$-4.7K

6512395314597884

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

$-6.8K

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Mai Hontama — $3.0K

-$171.54

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